Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 25.987618 31.002786 36.493978 42.922814 50.211978 58.188957 67.546796
2025-07-27 19.140492 25.894213 34.002215 44.320049 56.958506 71.790094 90.355308
2025-08-03 15.123800 22.624027 32.298328 45.401953 62.371972 83.279615 110.623648
2025-08-10 11.828224 19.416110 29.859593 44.798131 65.080816 91.095782 126.347994
2025-08-17 9.741372 17.388120 28.534109 45.242144 68.843027 100.128694 143.750737
2025-08-24 7.981442 15.467335 26.998386 45.059523 71.514073 107.638539 159.297663
2025-08-31 6.309945 13.336775 24.797505 43.561367 72.047159 112.081083 170.732783
2025-09-07 5.413430 12.331804 24.175348 44.289049 75.723516 120.928171 188.430519
2025-09-14 4.394910 10.889759 22.617337 43.334953 76.722677 125.900124 200.793178
2025-09-21 3.860013 10.265621 22.353082 44.398079 80.802847 135.441694 219.932975
2025-09-28 3.023903 8.830594 20.431946 42.463160 79.969584 137.579782 228.340350
2025-10-05 2.719452 8.489857 20.489045 43.916106 84.626680 148.131205 249.416944
2025-10-12 2.363212 7.992774 20.263723 45.001760 89.010030 158.865952 271.829547
2025-10-19 2.078906 7.609968 20.229182 46.456149 94.149164 171.087763 297.094014
2025-10-26 1.808284 7.186189 20.039667 47.579125 98.754792 182.624489 321.681702
2025-11-02 1.460989 6.432935 19.009234 46.952602 100.218887 189.133576 338.665106
2025-11-09 1.237461 5.973085 18.560545 47.413332 103.608455 198.862265 360.951587
2025-11-16 1.016799 5.437319 17.838487 47.223840 105.764616 206.592005 380.266314
2025-11-23 0.777447 4.723736 16.542082 45.669087 105.244328 209.760580 392.312967
2025-11-30 0.666433 4.450514 16.328513 46.424312 109.117569 220.505466 416.918416
2025-12-07 0.518485 3.941599 15.381327 45.434084 109.531268 225.270100 431.831717
2025-12-14 0.452380 3.771245 15.353770 46.537460 114.105553 237.429231 459.287426
2025-12-21 0.326579 3.211533 14.065146 44.529127 112.306817 238.237513 467.779887